Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.016672 0.018394 0.020133 0.022014 0.023989 0.025997 0.028188
2025-07-06 0.012622 0.015223 0.017971 0.021066 0.024437 0.027976 0.031954
2025-07-13 0.010808 0.013954 0.017391 0.021374 0.025816 0.030576 0.036025
2025-07-20 0.009202 0.012676 0.016590 0.021238 0.026529 0.032295 0.038991
2025-07-27 0.007905 0.011596 0.015878 0.021079 0.027106 0.033769 0.041599
2025-08-03 0.007227 0.011173 0.015862 0.021657 0.028466 0.036074 0.045091
2025-08-10 0.006263 0.010304 0.015238 0.021458 0.028874 0.037255 0.047280
2025-08-17 0.005402 0.009482 0.014608 0.021195 0.029159 0.038257 0.049230
2025-08-24 0.004712 0.008824 0.014131 0.021072 0.029575 0.039380 0.051293
2025-08-31 0.004066 0.008162 0.013603 0.020850 0.029839 0.040300 0.053100
2025-09-07 0.003550 0.007635 0.013213 0.020768 0.030248 0.041371 0.055067
2025-09-14 0.002976 0.006964 0.012588 0.020352 0.030222 0.041904 0.056387
2025-09-21 0.002368 0.006199 0.011833 0.019794 0.030068 0.042358 0.057711
2025-09-28 0.001740 0.005308 0.010848 0.018902 0.029486 0.042298 0.058445
2025-10-05 0.001501 0.005056 0.010759 0.019192 0.030385 0.044026 0.061301
2025-10-12 0.001200 0.004632 0.010383 0.019064 0.030731 0.045065 0.063321
2025-10-19 0.000940 0.004231 0.010008 0.018914 0.031031 0.046033 0.065247
2025-10-26 0.000839 0.004154 0.010132 0.019459 0.032234 0.048119 0.068524
2025-11-02 0.000634 0.003783 0.009755 0.019271 0.032460 0.048979 0.070307
2025-11-09 0.000457 0.003416 0.009352 0.019023 0.032588 0.049706 0.071918
2025-11-16 0.000328 0.003124 0.009052 0.018908 0.032883 0.050632 0.073767
2025-11-23 0.000216 0.002820 0.008701 0.018698 0.033036 0.051371 0.075378
2025-11-30 0.000140 0.002582 0.008447 0.018621 0.033360 0.052319 0.077243